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Unleashing Arrogance, Complacency, and Mediocrity

Unleashing Demons: The Inside Story of Brexit is one of the worst books on any subject that I have read in a long time. It is a blow-by-boring-blow account of David Cameron’s referendum campaign, principally in the media of mass communication, to keep Britain in the European Union. It was written by Craig Oliver, whose job was director of politics and communications in David Cameron’s administration, a title instinct with dishonesty. At least one knows what a second-hand car salesman does.

But a very bad book may, in its own way, be highly instructive, as this one is. If mediocrity can ever be said to shine, then it shines from these pages. The writer, though a journalist, has no literary ability whatsoever. He writes entirely in clichés, there is not a single arresting thought in over 400 pages, wit and even humor are entirely absent, and he seems unable to use a metaphor, almost always tired to begin with, without mixing it (“We are likely to succumb on this if they get on their high horses and cry foul”). He has no powers of analysis and no sense of history; there is no plumbing his shallows.

Nevertheless this was someone at the center of power for several years. Everyone around him, including the Prime Minister (the dullest man ever to hold the position), comes off as just as uninteresting as he; though it has to be admitted that the author could make Talleyrand seem a bore. The one outstanding quality that these mediocrities seem to share is ambition. It is disconcerting for the citizen to be faced so starkly by the fact that ambitious mediocrity is now the main characteristic of those who rule him.

Mr. Oliver provides no context for the referendum on Brexit, the calling of which was an act of absolute folly. Such was Cameron’s political incompetence that it seemed never to have occurred to him that a vote on so profound a constitutional issue should not be held and decided on the basis of 50 per cent plus one of the votes cast. In the event, the whole direction of the country was changed by the votes of 37 per cent of the eligible population, not exactly an overwhelming mandate for change; only too predictably, indeed, it was a recipe for social conflict and division. On this, the author is silent.

Had those who were shocked or horrified by the result objected to the form of the referendum before it was held, they might have had some grounds for subsequent complaint. To demand overturning the result of the vote that they complacently did not expect, absent any protests beforehand, made it look as if they believed their own votes to keep the United Kingdom in the European Union should have counted for more than those who voted to leave. The implication: They were wiser than, and morally superior to, those of a different opinion from themselves.

The reason that these philosopher-kings didn’t object beforehand was that they were confident that the vision of the anointed (to use Thomas Sowell’s pithy phrase) would triumph. So wedded to that vision is the author that he does not feel it even necessary to explain why Britain should have voted to remain in the EU. Beyond saying that serious economists, chief executives of large companies, the Governor of the Bank of England and the director of the International Monetary Fund were in favor of Britain remaining (which is, in essence, the argument from authority) he provided no arguments for his opinion—though, in fact, such arguments existed, the most convincing, at least to me, being Lord Falkland’s famous principle that when it is not necessary to change, it is necessary not to change. Of course, when and whether change is necessary is always a matter of judgment, for no condition is perfect; but you don’t wreck a room just because there is dust on the mantelpiece.

However, the main reason the author provides no arguments for his views is that he believes that there are simply no arguments against them, and that therefore everything goes by default. Apparently, anyone who is capable of reading a book must, almost by definition, agree with Mr. Oliver. Over and over again he says that the push to exit the EU was based purely on xenophobia and propaganda lies. One does not refute xenophobia or propaganda.

Unfortunately, to say that there were no arguments on the other side is itself a lie. It would be vain to deny, of course, that lies and xenophobia played no part in the campaign to leave, just as it would be vain to assert that Britain’s manifold problems are principally caused by its membership of the European Union rather than by, say, the abysmally low cultural level of its population, including of the most highly educated class (as this book amply demonstrates). Culture is as much a matter of character as of education, and it is precisely character that our leaders lack.

But the most eloquent man on either side of the debate was Daniel Hannan, a man who speaks Spanish and French better than Oliver writes English, and who argued that leaving the European Union would make Britain more open to the rest of the world, not less; that far from being isolationist little Englanders, as alleged by their opponents, those in favor of the Brexit were not little Europeaners who had failed to notice that Europe was no longer the center of the world.

Part of the weakness of the book is that its author, though allegedly open to the outside world, shows no particular knowledge of it—not even of France, a mere 20 miles from our coast. If he had read its press during the campaign, he would have realized that the criticisms lodged by French commentators and even former French government ministers was just as scathing as that of Hannan and other articulate Brexiteers—namely that the EU is corrupt, bureaucratic, cumbersome, archaic, inhibitory of enterprise, economically dysfunctional, and undemocratic, and that its two most recent major innovations, the single currency and free movement across borders, had been disasters for many of its members. The only difference between the French critics and the British was that the former thought the EU was reformable, and the latter did not.

Though the author was Mr. Cameron’s director of politics, whatever that might be (certainly not an elected position), he shows no interest in, or even awareness of, the political dimension of the question of Britain’s EU membership. He writes as if the referendum was only about economics and immigration, ignoring that it was also a sounding of the public’s view of the EU’s self-proclaimed goal of ever-closer union. He therefore does not ask what the purpose is of that ever-closer union, what problem or problems it is supposed to solve, or where pursuit of this goal is likely to lead sooner or later.

This blithe unawareness of the political dimension is evident in the admiration Mr. Oliver expresses for a man called Bill Knapp, an American consultant (in what, exactly?) who came over “to sharpen lines for the PM’s Question Time appearances and the wider TV debates”—a tacit admission that David Cameron is a dullard, left to his own devices a terminal bore. Knapp’s “easy charm belies a razor sharp brain,” he writes. “His thoughts are interesting. Almost fact free—appealing to common sense or emotion.” And here is one of Mr. Knapp’s  interesting thoughts: The purpose of the EU is the single market.

This establishes pretty conclusively that the consultant is either an unscrupulous liar or an ignoramus. The purpose of the EU has never been, and is certainly not now, the single market. Only someone completely lacking in political insight could take what such a man says seriously.

Unleashing Demons will prove a valuable social document if it causes future historians to wonder at the low intellectual level of people at the center of power in Britain at the beginning of the 21st century. Having spent the entire book saying that those who wanted to leave had no argument, Mr. Oliver writes, seven pages before its end (on page 401):

And yet even I, who am as metropolitan and liberal on immigration as they come, questioned being part of an organisation that insists on having unlimited freedom of movement to work. It seems to me it is an unsustainable situation that countries with such varying economies can continue with this system.

Indeed. But what is the EU if not a procrustean political bed whose purpose is to fuse very different countries in the hope that something powerful will emerge, so that European politicians may play a role on a larger stage than their own? Who would have heard of Mr. Juncker if he had remained a former Prime Minister of Luxembourg, Mr. Barroso he had remained a former Prime Minister (and Maoist student agitator) of Portugal, or Mr. Kinnock had he remained but a failed leader of the British Labor Party?

Reader Discussion

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on April 13, 2017 at 23:50:43 pm

The review is so crushing, I think I will pass on both purchasing and/or reading the book. I thought that David Cameron did one of the dumbest and deadliest things a politician can do; namely, stating that he would resign if any given policy e.g. Brexit were approved (or in other instances, disapproved). No politician should take a principled stand that results in his departure from politics thus disadvantaging his supporters until a new water carrier can be found.

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Neil Dunn
on April 14, 2017 at 11:22:30 am

"Culture is as much a matter of character as of education, and it is precisely character that our leaders lack."

A brilliant quote! I am often amazed that those on one side politically seldom consider that any viewpoint other than theirs exists. They must truly live in a bubble.

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Bob Thomas
on April 14, 2017 at 12:03:32 pm

"It is disconcerting for the citizen to be faced so starkly by the fact that ambitious mediocrity is now the main characteristic of those who rule him. "

Gee, you are talking about Cameron and his ilk, right? - not the American Political class?

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gabe
on April 14, 2017 at 15:22:24 pm

Am I alone in being baffled by what Daniels ("Dalrymple") actually thinks of the Brexit vote?

At one point he says that even holding the vote was "folly," since something so consequential should never be up for a simple-majority referendum. But later in this same piece he writes as if he thinks the EU is an appalling entity.

So maybe he wanted the UK out of the EU, yet not via a crude plebiscite? But if so and given what he has to say about the hyper-mediocrity of the UK's ruling class, what alternative was there to this vote?

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Paul
on April 14, 2017 at 16:59:27 pm

How this parallels our own country on the other side of the Atlantic in characterizing Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. In the former was bestowed the greatness of being the "First African-American President" whilst the other was to be bestowed coronation by merely by being the "First Female American President".

Needless to say that the cold analysis of the fruits of the former probably had a large part in the rejection of the latter.

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Allen Ahern
on April 14, 2017 at 17:14:14 pm

Both US and UK political classes are dullards. That is why we got Trump.

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Michael Kennedy
on April 14, 2017 at 18:13:01 pm

An Hillery would have been better....How?

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Steven Andros
on April 14, 2017 at 18:14:17 pm

No one wants more of the4 same when it smells that bad.

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Steven Andros
on April 14, 2017 at 20:30:47 pm

No, you are not alone. I suspect he was in favour of Brexit, but the point about major decisions being decided by bare majorities is still valid.

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Brett_McS
on April 14, 2017 at 21:30:00 pm

Exquisite writing. Thank you, sir.

Professor Eric Rasmusen, Kelley School of Business, Indiana University

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Eric Rasmusen
on April 15, 2017 at 00:29:56 am

It's Hayek's Curse, as described by The Road to Serfdom. The more powerful the state becomes, the more the worst amongst us are attracted to it's levers.

Regards

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Peter Jackson
on April 15, 2017 at 02:26:41 am

Ambitious mediocrity extends beyond the political class and beyond the UK. Because of our non-judgmental all-must-have-prizes practices and attitudes, many people lack a realistic sense of their limitations. Couple that with our aversion to quality standards, and these people rise to positions they have no business holding. Not that they are aware of it of course; they don't even know what they don't know, as we say here in the old colonies.

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Exurban
on April 15, 2017 at 03:52:53 am

I'm with you Paul. I think this piece was intended primarily as a book review, not an exposition on Dalrymple's personal opinions on the Brexit. That's why his opinions on same appear opaque. . .he's mostly avoiding expressing them here.

He has expressed them elsewhere more clearly. For example: https://www.city-journal.org/html/brexits-complicated-aftermath-14590.html

Apparently he does support the actual Brexit, but thinks the referendum process itself was atrocious, in no small part because the way it was conducted necessarily undermined its own legitimacy. For example, at the end of the day, only 3/8 of the electorate voted affirmatively for Brexit in what was legally a non-binding referendum.

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looking closely
on April 15, 2017 at 06:54:53 am

"..so profound a constitutional issue should not be held and decided on the basis of 50 per cent plus one..."

Sovereignty of the individual and economic liberty: a constitutional issue?

If it is, then so is gravity.

The issue is a natural phenomenon and it would never have needed a vote but for the traitorous, treacherous political class and cronies who placed it in jeopardy for their own ends.

No majority can take this natural phenomenon away, but 50 + 1 certainly should restore it if that is what it takes in our cockeyed social system.

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John B
on April 15, 2017 at 07:57:40 am

[…] Unleashing Arrogance, Complacency, and Mediocrity […]

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Image of Ambitious Mediocrity | ishkabibl
Ambitious Mediocrity | ishkabibl
on April 15, 2017 at 11:31:23 am

The over 50% Brexit vote is really very like a narrowly won vote of no confidence for a Prime Minister. Even if he gets 51%, isn't it traditional that if a minister's support is much weaker than expected, he resigns? Admittedly, I am basing this on the novel The Corridors of Power, but it makes sense. The Prime Minister said, "If over 50% of voters want this, I'll do it." It really should work out the same even if he said "If over 42.3% of voters want this, I'll do it." He's indicating the inframajority, majority, or supermajority he requies for a policy.

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Eric Rasmusen
on April 15, 2017 at 12:03:28 pm

Whatever one thinks of Dominic Cummings, I think his description of Brexit is far more worth reading than this unfortunate book:

https://dominiccummings.wordpress.com/2017/01/09/on-the-referendum-21-branching-histories-of-the-2016-referendum-and-the-frogs-before-the-storm-2

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Erich Schwarz
on April 16, 2017 at 16:39:47 pm

It's obvious to me why people like Oliver avoid humor.

You can pretend to be serious. You can't pretend to be witty.

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Chuck Hardin
on April 17, 2017 at 17:33:34 pm

Excellent observation!

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Eric Rasmusen
on April 19, 2017 at 17:12:10 pm

Thank you TD.

The concept of 50% plus 1 vote concept for a constitutional change, that is thrown around so loosely, requires some contemplation. In a vote among, say, the members of the house of commons, it is fairly easy to determine which way the vote went. However when several million votes are cast, if the difference between two sides really was only 1 vote, or even 1000 votes, a hundred recounts would probably result in a different count each time with the potential of never ending arguments as to who won..

Of course, any fixed % such as 66.6666...% could have a similar problem, but the arguments from the the majority side would have greater sway than those of the minority side.

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William vaughan
on April 19, 2017 at 23:03:03 pm

"It would be vain to deny, of course, that lies and xenophobia played no part in the campaign to leave..."

Too many negatives used; I think the author means here 'played a part...'

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Andy
on April 20, 2017 at 04:49:22 am

His views on Brexit were expressed brilliantly here:

http://www.libertylawsite.org/2016/04/06/brexit-less-there-than-meets-the-eye/

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James Parke
on April 24, 2017 at 15:54:47 pm

You are quite right. It was my mistake.

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theodore dalrymple
on May 19, 2017 at 10:50:53 am

Meh... to quote Gina Miller "Under pressure, Theresa May’s government let it be known that it planned to bypass parliament and trigger article 50 by invoking an ancient crown prerogative power. My three years at university studying law, together with being a history geek, made it immediately obvious to me that this would deny the sovereignty of parliament. This was the elephant in the room – and an elephant, it seemed to me, that could do a lot of damage.

It is one of the most beautiful things about our country that just one individual, so long as he or she has the law on their side, can take on the most powerful institutions or people in the land and win."

This, I believe, is so disingenuous... the elephant in the details is that she was invoking 'one of the most beautiful things' on behalf of the very Orwellian construction that threatens to destroy it.

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Kiljoy
on April 15, 2019 at 09:56:33 am

Good point. The politicians i.e. Edfward Heath (a mediocrity) got us into this mess when he gave everything away in 1973. Our politicians now are not just mediocre, they are spineless.

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M B Pinder
on April 15, 2019 at 09:59:20 am

Yes, he did indeed want the UK out of the EU. He has admitted to voting 'leave' in the referendum. He does indeed seem to be shifting his ground now that Brexit has been bungled.

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M B Pinder
on April 15, 2019 at 10:10:26 am

Nice reply. Gina Miller said it was about 'due process'. There is a slogan about her 'We were smart enough to vote for Brexit, we are smart enough to know when someone is lying'.

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M B Pinder

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